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Kenya: WFP VAM Food Security Analysis - East Africa: The 2016 Season Severe Drought in the Horn of Africa

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Source: World Food Programme
Country: Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia, Uganda

HIGHLIGHTS

  • The rainfall season in the Horn of Africa has ended in a severe drought. Extensive growing season failures and record low vegetation are observed across Somalia and southeast Ethiopia and coastal Kenya.
  • Northern and western Kenya, southwest Ethiopia and the eastern half of Uganda are also affected, although with more moderate consequences.
  • Severe crop production losses will occur in Somalia and coastal Kenya. Irrigated crop production will also be impacted as the drought extends over the key river basins.
  • Pasture and water resources for human and livestock consumption are at critically low levels across wide swaths of the region, particularly Somaliland to southern Ethiopia.
  • This drought is largely comparable to Oct-Nov 2010 and like worse in coastal Kenya, northern Somalia and SE Ethiopia. Unlike the 2010 drought which was preceded by a good season, the coping capacities of the most vulnerable households this year are already reduced due to poor rains in the last season.
  • The outlook for the next months is pessimistic, as available evidence points to drier than average conditions during the next rainfall season.
  • Yet another drought affected season could lead to a humanitarian crisis similar to 2010-2011.

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